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The occurrence of safety incidents and quality incidents is similar

by:ORK      2022-11-18
The origin of the universe, the origin of life, and the origin of intelligence are the three major scientific puzzles today. Human beings are still unable to come up with a recognized explanation and proof. The origin of the universe is one of the most difficult questions. We know that there is the Christian theory of God digging the world, Hawking's theory of the Big Bang, and Laozi's theory that the Tao produces one, one life two, two creates three, and three creates all things; And so on. The origin of life seems to be a chicken-and-egg question. Considering the origin of intelligence, it is strange why there is so much life on earth, only human beings have generated intelligence, and intelligence can always innovate. These three problems appear to occur in three areas. However, they may be reflections of three different levels of the same problem. It may illustrate the multi-layered nature of emergence. Complexity science has found a more plausible explanation for the origin of life, and its power lies in emergence. Molecules on the edge of chaos can have the opportunity to emerge to generate cells, cell groups on the edge of chaos may emerge to form low-level life forms, and low-level life on the edge of chaos may evolve to form higher-level life, etc. This process is from ancient times to the present. Continuously, the world is slowly moving towards advanced and complex. Interestingly, this process has only caused serious casualties and property losses by the computer-simulated life game, and also resulted in an 80-kilometer pollution zone of the Songhua River. There is a crisis in drinking water in places such as Harbin along the river. It can be seen from this that a negligent hand of an operator has caused a huge disaster, and the lesson is profound and painful.“Heinrich's Law”American Heinrich summed up a set of business rules for insurance companies after statistical analysis of the probability of occurrence of 550,000 work-related accidents. Before it happened, there must have been about 30 small accidents or small failures related to this, and there must have been before: about 300 omens. That is, behind a major disaster, there must be about 30 minor disasters and minor disasters, and there are even before. 300 omens of near misses. The occurrence of safety incidents and quality incidents is similar.​​“Heinrich's Law”It shows that behind any seemingly accidental safety accident or quality accident, there are inevitable factors that the accident must happen. A seemingly accidental accident, just like an iceberg in the sea sticking out of the sea is just the tip of it. A more serious hidden danger is like the huge part of the iceberg below the sea surface, which is hidden and has not yet been exposed. If effective preventive measures are not taken immediately after seeing the tip of the iceberg, a major accident will inevitably occur. There is an old chinese saying,“Small holes are not filled, big holes suffer”. Letting go of small problems can lead to big disasters. As the saying goes. The embankment of a thousand miles was destroyed in the ant's nest. Those major accidents or major failures that ultimately lead to catastrophe. Often experienced an evolutionary process from quantitative change to qualitative change. In fact, before the series of explosions in the bisbenzene plant of Jilin Petrochemical Company, the plant had an explosion accident and other minor problems in 2001. There are many loopholes in enterprise management, such as the loss of skilled workers, the training and treatment of employees, etc. The problems were not solved effectively, and finally a negligent hand caused a huge disaster. From the perspective of Murphy's law and Heinrich's law, the occurrence of this major accident was inevitable by chance. Therefore, enterprise safety management is not only the business of entrepreneurs, but also closely related to the participation of all employees. It is necessary to motivate and mobilize the enthusiasm of employees through the necessary reward and punishment mechanism through measures such as team learning, common vision, and systematic thinking management, so as to prevent the small and slow down, and the alarm bell will ring. It is worth reminding that although the statistical probability of Heinrich's law is 1:30:300, in a high-tech-intensive complex economic and social system, the probability of Heinrich's law may become l: 2:10, or even 1:0:O, for example, the meltdown of one of the reactors at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant was caused by an overload while testing improved emergency safety devices, as unexpected bugs can emerge from complex systems , which the experts did not predict. Therefore, it is very important for entrepreneurs to have complex systems thinking, especially when dealing with highly complex systems, to be especially careful, otherwise things will go wrong due to ignorance. The origin of the universe, the origin of life, and the origin of intelligence are the three major scientific puzzles today. Human beings are still unable to come up with a recognized explanation and proof. The origin of the universe is a difficult question. We know that there is the Christian theory of God's creation, Hawking's theory of the Big Bang, and Laozi's theory that the Tao produces one, one life two, two creates three, and three creates all things; And so on. The origin of life seems to be a chicken-and-egg question. Considering the origin of intelligence, it is strange why there is so much life on earth, only human beings have generated intelligence, and intelligence can always innovate. These three problems appear to occur in three areas. However, they may be reflections of three different levels of the same problem. It may illustrate the multi-layered nature of emergence. Complexity science has found a more plausible explanation for the origin of life, and its power lies in emergence. Molecules on the edge of chaos can have the opportunity to emerge to generate cells, and cell groups on the edge of chaos may emerge to form low-level life forms, while low-level life forks on the edge of chaos may evolve to form higher-level life, etc. This process is from ancient times to the present. Continuously, the world is slowly moving towards advanced and complex. Interestingly, this process has been confirmed by computer simulations of Game of Life. Company website: https://www.orksealing.com/
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